YOUR EARLY WARNING SYSTEM

SomethingsUp.io monitors private jet, celebrity jet, and military aircraft activity in near real-time and compares it against historical baselines.

When aircraft activity deviates from normal patterns, the Warning Level rises.

The goal isn't to predict events. It's to identify unusual movement before the reason becomes obvious.

Executives, investors, government officials, and advisors often travel by private jet. In some cases, they move before the public understands why.

We're not trying to determine why aircraft move. We're watching for when they move differently than normal.

Private jets are the signal.

The Warning Level compares the current number of private jets in the air against a historical baseline for the same day of the week and time of day.

The larger the deviation from normal activity, the higher the Warning Level.

Baselines are adjusted around U.S. federal holidays to reduce false alarms from predictable travel spikes.

The Warning Level is based on private business jets including Gulfstream, Bombardier, Dassault Falcon, Embraer, Cessna Citation, Pilatus, Learjet, Hawker, and similar aircraft.

Commercial airline traffic is excluded.

Celebrity jets are identified within this group by FAA registration. Military aircraft are tracked and displayed separately but do not affect the Warning Level.

Yes. SomethingsUp.io tracks aircraft registered to well-known public figures including Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, Bill Gates, Mark Zuckerberg, Taylor Swift, Oprah Winfrey, and others.

When one of these aircraft is airborne, it appears in the Notable Aircraft section.

Partially.

Military aircraft broadcasting ADS-B data are tracked and displayed on the globe. This includes cargo transports, tankers, surveillance aircraft, and trainers.

Combat aircraft and classified missions typically do not broadcast ADS-B and therefore won't appear. Military traffic does not affect the Warning Level.

Flight data is collected every 5 minutes from ADS-B receiver networks.

The Warning Level updates during every collection cycle.

SomethingsUp.io measures observable aircraft activity, not hidden events.

It won't tell you why planes are moving, only that they are.

ADS-B coverage is strongest over North America and Europe, and some aircraft do not broadcast continuously. Elevated readings can also result from major conferences, seasonal travel, or temporary data gaps. The Traffic Archive provides historical context for every reading.

Not necessarily.

A Level 5 may be caused by a major event, unusual travel patterns, a large conference, or a temporary anomaly.

The Warning Level measures deviation, not cause. When activity is unusually high during a normal week, it's worth paying attention. What the signal means is up to you.

In the days before Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, ADS-B tracking showed a significant surge in private jets departing Russian airports — particularly to Geneva and Dubai. Oligarchs with Kremlin connections were moving assets before the invasion became public knowledge. The signal was visible in the data before it was visible in the news.

During COVID-19, private jet demand surged in early March 2020 as wealthy individuals relocated before broader lockdowns took effect — days before most people understood what was coming. (The Guardian, March 2020)

SomethingsUp.io is designed to surface that kind of movement pattern in real time.

You should.

SomethingsUp.io is not a replacement for news, prediction markets, or traditional analysis. It is simply another signal.

News reports what happened. Prediction markets reflect expectations. SomethingsUp.io measures movement. Together, they provide a more complete picture.

Commercially certified aircraft are generally more resilient than consumer electronics and are already designed to withstand significant electrical interference. (14 CFR 25.1316)

If an EMP event were severe enough to bring down aircraft, checking the Warning Level would probably not be your highest priority.